Why Start a Company When You Could...

There's a lot of opportunity out there and I've been hearing some interesting insights from several entrepreneurs recently who've been very much against the idea of someone starting their own company. The argument is that there is so much risk in a pre-revenue venture (after all, creating something from nothing is the hardest part). So then, they ask, why wouldn't you:

1. Join a revenue generating start-up? A huge part of the risk has been taken away and the question isn't as much 'whether this will ever work ' but how we can now tweak the business to grow revenues. You won't get anywhere near the same amount of stock but a lot of people have made good money this way (and built their networks through venture backed companies).
   
2. Buy an existing business that's stagnant. Again, the hard part has been done. There are businesses out there that are profitable but stagnant making between $100k-5mm a year. So rather than trying to start a business why not raise some private money and flip the company around?
   

The moral is that there are a lot of undervalued assets out there that can use an individual's talents just as well as any bright new business idea.

Release Early & Release Often

"Release Early, Release Often" is a principle that is now adopted by some of the most successful companies in internet. I've known of it, incorporated it in the develop strategy of KnolSoft's internet product but I never actually knew how amazing it was until I started my little mashup experiment Googview.

GoogView Started off with a simple question: if people like Google search yet they keep going to Bing for the daily image, what would happen if we combined the two? The first iteration was simply the current Google Search with a background that I selected from Wikipedia picture of the day. People who I gave the simple pitch to loved it but other people didn't quite get it. After this I kept tweaking the site based on user suggestions daily. The rapid changes kept even the people who weren't that into it at first interested and I was able to keep the communication going. The result was a significantly better website design, users participation and a lot of fun. So, what were the lesson I got out of this?

1. Iterative development is an extremely powerful tool and it must be incorporated into your product strategy.
2. You have to iterate fast and work hard to keep dialogue going and maintain user interest.
3. If you don't have the infrastructure in place to go through this cycle rapidly, you're not ready to launch. If it means more manpower, get it.
   

Evolutionary Economics & How Small Business Can Survive Among Giants

Building my company has made me think a lot on how a potential entrant to a market dominated by giants should position itself. After a couple weeks of pounding my head against the wall, I thought of a Discovery special that I saw on the rain forest, where the canopy created by 300 ft trees stifled the growth of life on the ground. This seemed to be a perfect analog to my conundrum, and two questions came to mind: 1) How did certain species evolve to position themselves for growth when no sunlight was available and 2) In such a stifling environment, how did the Amazon become one of the most diverse ecological systems in the world?

Here were some of my findings (I came across a U.Michigan website that summarized some fascinating studies on competition in the evolutionary biology context):

1. In answering the first question, it seems natural selection offers two answers. Some plants did not compete with the big guys, simply adapting to living on the forest's floor with less sunlight. Other plants actually used the gargantuan trees, and climbed up them towards the bright sun over the canopy. These very elegant solutions reminded me of small business either positioning in a niche market or partnering with larger firms to leverage their distribution channels.
   
2. The answer to the second question proved much more interesting, as it went to the heart of the studies summarized in the aforementioned website. Findings showed that whenever competition over limited resources existed within any system, all interactions were destructive (ie: no two species could co-exist). The dominant species always exterminated the subordinate one. The key to survival in competition was always adapting to position a species in a way that minimized overlap in resource consumption with the dominant ones. This suggests that adaptation is not a way of survival but the only way to survive, and that diversity is an inevitable state in any perfectly competitive environment.
   

The lesson from this analog, in my opinion, seems to be that going after Microsoft P&G or any competing giant is suicide (no kidding!). Yet evolution does seem to offer one glimmer of hope for small businesses that cannot afford an outright war with the big guys: the vine. Nature's solution to our problem was to adapt in a way that made partnership with the dominant player possible, and this should be a key option for any small business entering a multibillion dollar market should consider before taking the niche approach.

A Decision Rule To Live By

Over the past year I've found my decision-making to have become much more sharp and it's really really been based on one decision rule. It has been so powerful in my personal and professional life (ranging from R&D decisions, to managing employees and to maintaining relationships with my business partner.)

I always ask myself the following:

"What is the worst possible case that could happen if I make this decision? If it happened, would I be kicking myself or could I live with it?"

If the answer is the former, can I do anything to mitigate the risk and make the worst state more acceptable? If it's the latter, accept the decision because no matter what you're taking a calculated risk and the negative outcome will be out of your control.

Follow-Up to Yesterday's "Solve Your Own Problems..." Post

I got an email this morning from a close friend of mine, Anthony Orlando, who made the following comment in relation to yesterday's post, where I argued the importance of solving problems that you've experienced in your own life when starting a business:

"...what if you're not an expert on anything, i.e. you don't have a problem of
your own to solve?"

The question goes to the the heart of the point I was trying to make, since this is what so many young entrepreneurs with limited professional experience ask themeselves. While it's true that you might not have the professional experience to cater to enterprises, you have plenty of experience as a consumer to cater towards consumers like yourself.

Everyone is a consumer, so there's no excuse to say that you don't have expertise in anything. For example, if you spend 3 nights a week going to restaurants and night clubs, you start to get some idea of what makes a good menu or entertainment venue. If you go to coffee shops a few times a week, you begin to develop some expertise in what people are looking for in terms of atmosphere, music, service quality and product offering. If you like to explore new bands, but have trouble locating these emerging groups in your local Virgin Megastore, you start to gain some idea of a need that exists for people looking to explore new music based on their current preferences. The list goes on and on. As a consumer there's a pretty big chance that you have some sort of consumption pattern that makes you knowledgable in some areas, and it's these areas you want to focus on (if you'll notice by the way, I'm positive you can think of someone who has made money off each of the ideas I've listed above in the last 12 months.)

Of course the difficulty of innovating towards consumers like yourself is that consumers are innovating all the time. Our lives in the new millenium are so comfortable thanks to technology and e-commerce that we don't even have to get off our lazy backsides to purchase bread and milk (it's all delivered to your house! and if you don't like it, free return shipping!) But that does not change the fact that there's always room for improvement, and that there's always a pain point somewhere (it's human nature to never be satisfied!)

I find it highly unlikely that anyone 'doesn't have any problems' anywhere in their lives (if this is the case, my recommendation is not to bother reading this blog and starting a business, but rather taking it easy on a beach somewhere.) The trick is being persistent and always keeping your eyes open for a potential need. This means that you don't get much time to just shut down and lie down in the sun without analyzing the hell out of everything, but hey, that's the life you choose as an entrepreneur.

And if you really are living a life where you can't find a single need as a consumer... start changing your lifestyle to open you up to some new experiences; you're bound to find something somewhere out there. Just make sure you live it before you act on it.